La Liga · resolved market
Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1cb6bd160decf64d5ed8a06a616c8747b7f8d3477855fc1f02d7824240f91f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 27c | 4,875$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.23 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 27c | 4,393$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 74c | 3,279$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.21 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 38c | 2,904$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.99 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,748$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 2,717$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.66 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 72c | 2,418$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 27c | 1,941$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 73c | 1,703$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 64c | 1,049$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed No | 27c | 999.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 28c | 909.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.03 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 73c | 821.59$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.83 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310c…c503backed Yes | 73c | 765.19$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…da37backed No | 26c | 765$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 73c | 749.74$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…eddbbacked Yes | 73c | 668.37$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 663.12$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.51 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…7815backed No | 28c | 660$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 73c | 597.51$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…c1a7backed Yes | 73c | 575.34$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 73c | 548.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…97a9backed Yes | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 63c | 500$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 73c | 409.51$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…c2debacked Yes | 72c | 355$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8865…4f38backed Yes | 73c | 330.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 27c | 286.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…5814backed No | 28c | 285$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 73c | 274$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 28c | 272$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…9104backed Yes | 74c | 265$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…923fbacked Yes | 74c | 265$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…b3afbacked No | 26c | 235$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…7939backed Yes | 74c | 220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…b084backed Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 64c | 199.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…b4debacked Yes | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 27c | 152.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…6083backed Yes | 69c | 150.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…ebc5backed Yes | 60c | 128.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…56f5backed Yes | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 69c | 120.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 71c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 73c | 107.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c6…67ddbacked Yes | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a71dbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…45aabacked Yes | 73c | 99.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 23c | 94.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes | 73c | 87.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…90a1backed Yes | 67c | 86.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…f0cebacked Yes | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 58c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Yes | 72c | 69.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…6bd4backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c864backed Yes | 73c | 57.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes | 73c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…2253backed Yes | 73c | 48.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 73c | 47.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 73c | 43.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 27c | 38.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 63c | 36.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Yes | 73c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…1c4ebacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…1978backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…b79fbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…2720backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked Yes | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…272fbacked Yes | 73c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…fd0abacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?this page
- Will Espanyol beat Barcelona?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.