TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7600…49e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST9949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$32.48
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$53.95
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.88
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+334.8%+$50.22
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$52
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$67.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.22
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.23
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$45.06
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.03
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+31.6%+$26.66
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+40.4%+$29.18
Will Aston Villa beat RB Leipzig?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$128
Will Atalanta beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+53.8%+$70
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+42.9%+$105
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39.64
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.6
Will Latvia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will France beat Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+156.7%+$61.13
Will Netherlands beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
UEFA Nations League: Spain vs. France (To Advance)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$32.44
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.35
Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+37%+$12.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+53.7%+$52.43
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$29.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$57.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.