Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82500d18d809fa111dd1fc17a1129524b783e9a884ce107d4fba3f483b22a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 15,973$8,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,901.08 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 51c | 12,761$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 50c | 11,623$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,811.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 6,922$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.11 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 4,814$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 49c | 3,872$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 51c | 2,915$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 2,896$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.24 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 45c | 2,230$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 2,198$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.89 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,149$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.46 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,993$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 1,981$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.25 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked No | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 30c | 1,680$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 50c | 1,234$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.44 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 52c | 961.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 906.95$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.14 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 44c | 781$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 51c | 667.73$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 18c | 647.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 50c | 626.84$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.65 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 41c | 605.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…69ebbacked Yes | 51c | 586.12$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Yes | 37c | 486.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 49c | 484.84$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.98 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 41c | 484.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 51c | 450.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 54c | 449$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 49c | 439.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 400$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048d…a493backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 51c | 390$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 360.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Yes | 52c | 245.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 51c | 241.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes | 51c | 240.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 50c | 239.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…3f82backed Yes | 50c | 229.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 54c | 220.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 51c | 213.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f7…15febacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 57c | 199.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 198$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…b8f1backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…ba16backed Yes | 41c | 182.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…5688backed Yes | 51c | 177.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 51c | 175.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 36c | 164.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 48c | 163.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 49c | 160.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…c0f4backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…d22ebacked Yes | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Yes | 41c | 145.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…f2f1backed Yes | 50c | 138.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 50c | 135.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 51c | 110.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…ce6fbacked Yes | 51c | 102.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Como win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Napoli vs. Como end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.