Serie A · resolved market
Will Como win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2333235d6278dc7bfaf13354faa7838dc68664f4847c2a73f0caa7844eca8978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 80c | 1,796$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.7 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…686ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,721$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 18c | 1,648$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,611$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 21c | 1,325$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.42 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 1,142$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 79c | 1,111$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 79c | 1,008$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 21c | 960.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 763.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 21c | 476.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 273.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…5688backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 20c | 236$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 79c | 152.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 10c | 142.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d6a0backed Yes | 21c | 95.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 79c | 84.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 79c | 80.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 71.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…675cbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 20c | 52.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…cc62backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 25c | 48.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e3…f818backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 80c | 21.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…a08dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Napoli vs. Como end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.