TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34da…367f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
263
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST7557.3%43 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.09
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$27.04
Spread: Bucks (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.92
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.09
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.9
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.16
Spread: Pacers (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.67
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.74
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.92
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$28.08
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.09
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.91
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$34.8
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.48
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.69
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.15
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST4742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)backed Fulham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.04
Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Brentford (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Leeds United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$33.06
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Everton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.52
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.92
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.94
Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Newcastle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.25
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$27.04
Will Wolves vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.84
Spread: Fulham (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.04
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+203%+$50.92
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.44
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: West Ham (-0.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Everton (-0.5)backed Everton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$34.2
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.04
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)backed Getafe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.52
Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)backed Real Betis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)backed Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.15
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.84
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.62
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$45.5
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.79
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Spread: Villarreal (-0.5)backed Villarreal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$40.92
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Spread: Sevilla (-0.5)backed Sevilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.92
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)backed Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.92
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$9.45
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.79
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Will Como win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Verona win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$34.8
Spread: Lazio (-1.5)backed Cagliari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.45
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Spread: AC Milan (-0.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Spread: Bologna (-0.5)backed Parma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
Spread: Fiorentina (-1.5)backed Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.15
Spread: Torino (-0.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Inter (-1.5)backed Verona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.79
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Como win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+436.6%+$89.5
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.69
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.79
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.09
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.92
Spread: Le Havre AC (-0.5)backed Le Havre AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Spread: Paris FC (-0.5)backed Paris FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-0.5)backed Stade Brestois 29 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$17.65
Spread: FC Nantes (-0.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.25
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed FC Lorient · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
Spread: Toulouse FC (-0.5)backed Le Havre AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.25
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-0.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$71.1
Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$120.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-0.5)backed Borussia Mönchengladbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.25
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$19.91
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.09
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.79
Spread: Werder Bremen (-0.5)backed Werder Bremen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.92
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-0.5)backed 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.92
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$55.2
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-3.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-0.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$17
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.84
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.06
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-0.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.22
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.99
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed RU Saint-Gilloise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.54
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.37
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.64
Spread: Juventus FC (-0.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.09
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.2%+$14.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.09
Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.05
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25.19
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+203%+$50.92
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.69
Spread: CA Platense (-0.5)backed CA Sarmiento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+334.8%+$84.7
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+174.3%+$43.51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+170.3%+$44.1
Will Legia Warszawa win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-0.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.99
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Utrecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.49
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.