TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd16a…7691backed Yes27c90,387$24,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,632.421233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c67,684$49,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,285.612,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No37c50,000$18,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,499.9910952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes63c15,946$10,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,046.111877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes63c15,000$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4504757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes30c12,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6003511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes63c7,154$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.0716154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No35c6,854$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.916940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c5,481$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.4912050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No35c5,035$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2505641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No35c4,595$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes62c4,010$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes66c3,888$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.699651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No70c3,500$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No36c2,813$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes64c2,812$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.913259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No35c2,422$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.482030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes67c1,743$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.325538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c1,169$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.7548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6506046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5288…0439backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No33c999.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9924939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed Yes28c999.54$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes58c993.6$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.544734%16 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6896…3682backed Yes31c792$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.52714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3445…7488backed Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No34c599.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9912657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes30c499.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.745127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15bc…5023backed No34c494.61$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No41c481.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9410260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No33c477$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ca…6840backed Yes63c407.4$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes64c406$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes57c371.06$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Yes64c361.18$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No37c350.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+152.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes65c323.08$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No70c306.44$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.561275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c294.86$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.981,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed Yes21c269.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes67c243.28$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16312565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No42c239.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.164057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes65c224$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.613840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes45c189.83$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde38…4d41backed Yes16c187.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea63…f54fbacked Yes27c165.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No33c161.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.549643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes48c157.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No34c147.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.433426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No70c142.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.142568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c133.53$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Yes64c131.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.49825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No56c130.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.024717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No70c128.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.578065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c50…8756backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No71c119.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5811546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x340d…1335backed Yes68c117.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8279…7edcbacked Yes40c100.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a96…e12fbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-77.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No34c90$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea99…f13ebacked No69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd645…4b97backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1579…b7c5backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes68c72.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.438744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cc…9f53backed Yes68c67.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.314740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes65c54.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes68c51.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x396a…b1d3backed Yes25c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No31c49.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.978620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe067…3455backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes67c37.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.173119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4325…21bdbacked Yes63c37.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Yes67c37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.792330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc93b…9e73backed Yes31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes65c33.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.032454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes67c31.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0d…8d87backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc1…428cbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe958…b5e9backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec7…5991backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No34c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.