TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0db…56d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$405.88
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$535.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$1,479.29
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$398.05
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$207.52
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$225.81
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.68
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$189.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$133.05
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$80.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.85
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.98
Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$184.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$295.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$617
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-0.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-0.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$333.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$372.46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$152.32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$309.31
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.73
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.82
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$162.56
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$216.12
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.52
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$172.74
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$189.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.6
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$202.18
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.88
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.75
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$130.74
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$165.9
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.4%+$176.99
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28%+$139.97
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+87.8%+$680.42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$256.95
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53%+$445.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$295.85
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$178.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$403.86
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,846.45
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63%+$504.05
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$425.12
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$123.56
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.33
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$208.58
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$235.06
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$139.25
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$240.73
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+41%+$48.37
Will Brighton vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+25%+$23.54
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$124.62
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$242.31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$183.8
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$134.42
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$137.39
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$100.93
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.5
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$202.5
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+48.2%+$96.44
Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,167
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$330.31
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$78.84
Will Israel win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$933.1
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+26%+$127.59
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.8%+$135.07
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+27.6%+$209.04
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.4
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.92
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$115.95
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$206.47
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$225.64
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.28
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$88.37
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,962Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$894.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$417.21
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69.35
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$225.54
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$105.04
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$243.78
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$632.83
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.11
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44%+$205.67
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$123.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.14
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.06
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$314.6
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$487.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.8%+$53.57
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$216.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$313.18
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$379.44
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed FK Shakhtar Donetsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$344.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$53.06
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$25.75
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.85
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Will AEK win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will AZ win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$53.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.4%+$424.33
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$127.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+143.3%+$340.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.