Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7badca7470be581bf9e07c7d538f1b6fd30a952b1ef8b9bbfd6dbcd2f033a99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 18c | 75,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.95 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 71c | 35,014$24,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,203.91 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 30c | 32,225$9,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,667.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 70c | 21,608$15,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 30c | 16,080$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.99 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 10,327$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.04 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 9,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.9 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 69c | 8,887$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 67c | 8,522$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 31c | 8,070$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.22 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed No | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 5,729$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.29 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 5,600$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.96 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 5c | 4,989$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 32c | 4,332$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.74 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 3,586$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Yes | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 19c | 3,469$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.58 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 30c | 3,456$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.78 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 32c | 3,234$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 32c | 3,219$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.85 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 69c | 2,983$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.61 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c37…0631backed Yes | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 73c | 2,568$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,566$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.1 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 68c | 2,471$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 29c | 2,376$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,938$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.2 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 69c | 1,829$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.31 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 72c | 1,761$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.97 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 3c | 1,661$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 3c | 1,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ad…4a01backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 31c | 1,470$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed Yes | 72c | 1,402$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,372$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Yes | 72c | 1,368$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…bb6bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,362$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…55e9backed Yes | 67c | 1,346$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed No | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…992ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,245$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 66c | 1,137$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.53 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 70c | 1,088$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 29c | 1,079$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.85 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…bdf5backed Yes | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…f4f0backed No | 17c | 1,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 73c | 919.63$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…a324backed Yes | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 27c | 813.45$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.63 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 67c | 807.25$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…65edbacked Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 28c | 788.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 70c | 714.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…f352backed Yes | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed No | 30c | 699.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 72c | 698.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 30c | 676.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Yes | 70c | 645.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…4afebacked Yes | 73c | 624.71$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 72c | 623.68$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341e…9b67backed Yes | 65c | 617.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 31c | 603.27$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed No | 30c | 600$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 14c | 600$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…afadbacked No | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 71c | 599.8$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…ce49backed Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 66c | 575.76$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…006cbacked No | 33c | 534.9$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 28c | 458.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…56d7backed No | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 71c | 422.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…621cbacked Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 5c | 407$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +403.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 70c | 402.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 401.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…6202backed No | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…837dbacked Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +250.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.