TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd22…9ef1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
773
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 60 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST14135.5%50 W · 91 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+296.1%+$995.04
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$872.35
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$6,662.26
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.8%+$27.51
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,740.07
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.5%+$296.49
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.76
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$633.19
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$469.1
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$57.33
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,846Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81%+$1,495.9
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$428.35
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,877Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+56.6%+$5,027.48
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$427.16
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$440.48
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$440.79
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$552.04
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.21
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$228.88
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,458Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+121%+$5,393.21
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$732.76
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.56
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.62
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.85
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.16
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.44
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.82
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15,110.96
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.14
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,499.74
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,964.73
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$402.57
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$2,085.98
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+278.7%+$34.82
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,667.52
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$442.22
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34,448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+41.7%+$14,347.96
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17,132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.6%+$4,901.84
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,248.9
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$720
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,822Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+45.7%+$4,492.59
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17,105.02
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+642.1%+$2,604.13
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT5735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.92
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.22
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.28
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.36
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$432.84
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,711.6
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$2,133.41
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.21
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.91
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.85
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$270.68
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+71%+$1,792.29
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$720.32
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$535
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,595.2
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37.8%+$94.45
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$44.13
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$667.44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+146.7%+$442.84
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54.43
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$706.59
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,577Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.3%+$431.07
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.5%+$411.65
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT5635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.64
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$8,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$4,030.38
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,943.15
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.59
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.66
Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47%+$511.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$526.05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$389.99
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+143.9%+$884.99
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+1,006.8%+$831.81
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+46.2%+$60.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,921Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+97.6%+$1,874.81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$601.68
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$117.28
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$372.98
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$548.7
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Trent Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13,220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+320.4%+$42,350.56
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Logan Paxton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.61
Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alik Lorenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+400.4%+$51.21
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$7,554.79
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Edson Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.04
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,523Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+734.7%+$11,191.56
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Noche UFC: Puelles vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+151.1%+$1,023
UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguezbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$519.38
UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. Matsumotobacked Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$237
UFC Fight Night: Anders vs. Duncanbacked Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.26
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$701.85
Gamrot vs. Kleinbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$166
Jacoby vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Filho vs. Nascimentobacked Filho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Yusuff vs. Santosbacked Yusuff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$315
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$432
Aldo vs. Zahabibacked Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$183
Grasso vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$93
Malott vs. Radtkebacked Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Andrade vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.99
Bukauskas vs. Cutelababacked Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$355
Santos vs. Leebacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$280
Katona vs. Almakhanbacked Katona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,204.29
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,652.61
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,488.74
France vs. England: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,024.02
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.66
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.32
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$8,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,788.86
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,595.14
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+231.7%+$1,889.79
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$9,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,776.52
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.44
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.41
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,989.83
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,599.84
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355.42
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.32
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,442.53
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.68
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42,222.18
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$9,555.45
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41,911.43
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,276.67
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+2,026.5%+$355.74
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,867Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+395.2%+$15,283.16
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$387.63
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38,931.86
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$547.21
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+323.1%+$3,237.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$15.07
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$898.41
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$160.79
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$306.93
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.75
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,803.28
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.07
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+260.9%+$424.74
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$652.11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.88
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$911.44
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,627Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$979.88
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.86
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.84
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$1,232.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,039.51
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.47
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$9,058.72
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,899Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.5%+$2,326.48
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,725.45
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,637Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.8%+$2,341.46
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$10,960.37
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$960
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,537.52
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.63
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9,251.87
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.91
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40,233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+71.5%+$28,783.15
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$105,857.22
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,375.86
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$364
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.83
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$87.17
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$198.88
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$424.98
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,820.61
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,350.99
Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$432.68
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$103.21
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.55
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27.25
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$140.85
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.77
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+377.8%+$2,535.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.88
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.47
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$34
Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.98
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+214.7%+$416.15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,257.03
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.28
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,375.99
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.17
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.67
Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46.95
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+64.6%+$94.23
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.13
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150.68
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST3154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+135.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+152.9%+$14,054.57
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$885
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$525
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$441
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$285
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+37.6%+$3,115.48
Will less than 100 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.67
Will 125-130 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+40.8%+$17.4
Will 130-135 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.5
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 1 time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+3,604.8%+$10,877.14
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 3 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.04
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 2 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$88.41
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 2+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.75
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+106.5%+$61.9
Will Donald Trump say "Panama" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+45.8%+$58.66
Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.77
Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+782.1%+$388.38
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.14
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60.66
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+123.6%+$99.5
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+120.9%+$72.34
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.1%+$313.84
Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$287.61
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.76
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.09
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,733Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$683.41
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,084Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.5%+$1,084.28
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+43.5%+$2,856.32
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$89.65
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100.5%+$44.62
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,851Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,672.63
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40.48
Will "Goodbye June" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+71.7%+$232.95
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$182.16
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$20.66
Will 'Running Point: Season 1' be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.53
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+266.5%+$984.74
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$6,559.7
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$569.65
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$22.11
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "The Substance"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$110.69
Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $6-9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+75.6%+$36.79
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$389.47
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$5,298.98
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.94
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$337.38
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$159.5
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$217.56
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$675.37
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,730.21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.8%+$11,220.18
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12,697.42
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.1%+$1,059.97
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$282.02
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,037.48
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$254.53
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$309.14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,886Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$1,221.41
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$86.13
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$586.95
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.5
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$977.68
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$1,518.98
Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+233.3%+$273.7
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+36.1%+$189.25
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+186.5%+$7,564.56
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,585.24
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,744.24
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$233.9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,897.16
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,039.55
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,617
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$457.53
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,487.54
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,280.2
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$208.23
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.93
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+400%+$1,290.48
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,911Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+95.7%+$8,531.76
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$131,851.08
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,722.84
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,136.66
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.54
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,112.23
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.46
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$493.2
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$311.32
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+26.1%+$228.41
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ye banned on X in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+72.6%+$670.2
Will Kanye tweet 100-199 times February 20-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$37.5
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$231.6
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43.5
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.37
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.05
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+143.2%+$779.33
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$256.47
Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,106.9
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+124.1%+$4,365.62
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$27.22
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,547.89
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.95
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+116%+$142.91
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+62.8%+$609.45
Will Trump tweet 4+ times by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+27.1%+$125.45
Will Trump tweet 3-4 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+32.2%+$186.56
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 22-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$72.63
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$93.73
All 20 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+1,358.6%+$3,710.74
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$315.2
Ye divorce before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,078Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$1,228.24
Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.68
Will Kanye West release an album before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.39
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+25%+$154.54
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$243.6
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.73
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$97.92
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+45.5%+$119.11
Will 'Higher' win Best Country Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27.76
Will 'Alligator Bites Never Heal' win Best Rap Album?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will "Saturn" by SZA win Best R&B Song?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$68.32
Will Kendrick Lamar release another album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.49
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$93.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefanini vs. Osorio: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,469.19
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Waltonbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.5
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20,470.33
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$510.77
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+135.9%+$8,385.17
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+473.7%+$734.72
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,331.83
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.44
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$818.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$533.28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.19
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$511.06
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.18
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$203.13
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.2
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.73
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$677.71
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.65
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,449.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$424.5
Megaquake before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.56
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+76.5%+$61.54
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+92%+$31.15
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$295.8
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 49°F or higher on February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$337.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+150%+$42
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$115.44
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$317.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid+100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stanley Tang be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38.43
Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+1,900%+$222.39
Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67.45
Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Turbo be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Stanley Tang be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42.78
Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$496
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$208.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$299.18
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$5,034.58
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,885.63
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,063.74
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,394.78
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+254.8%+$2,058.19
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$465
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,447.18
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?backed Proposition 50 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$5,182.83
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,192.43
Will Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.39
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$253
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$265.56
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$616.33
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$39.12
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47%+$65.98
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$309.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick46cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+152.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+92.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$461.98
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$51.19
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.05
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$237.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$279.72
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$990
Will Arizona State make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$208
Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$57.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+222.6%+$103.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$1,188.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.