UFC · resolved market
Grasso vs. Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d997aeafc3311876f4fbf89a22a6ce043ee54bfeb2827fe3be6df0739aed6e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Grasso, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6717…0054backed Grasso | 33c | 60,418$19,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,937.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cc…6213backed Silva | 67c | 60,418$40,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,937.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Silva | 68c | 21,541$14,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812.72 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Silva | 70c | 19,884$13,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.05 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Grasso | 30c | 16,680$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.99 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Silva | 70c | 15,706$10,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Grasso | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Silva | 69c | 9,940$6,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.28 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Silva | 67c | 9,348$6,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.81 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Grasso | 34c | 7,266$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Grasso | 32c | 5,364$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.78 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Grasso | 31c | 5,259$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.33 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grasso | 0c | 4,807$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Grasso | 31c | 4,516$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grasso | 30c | 4,402$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.19 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Silva | 71c | 4,200$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grasso | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Grasso | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grasso | 31c | 3,101$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.18 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Grasso | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grasso | 26c | 2,762$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.66 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grasso | 30c | 2,550$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grasso | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.8 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Grasso | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Silva | 70c | 1,922$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Grasso | 32c | 1,916$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grasso | 28c | 1,871$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.92 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grasso | 28c | 1,774$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.85 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grasso | 30c | 1,679$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Grasso | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grasso | 27c | 1,602$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.11 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grasso | 32c | 1,400$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Grasso | 32c | 1,290$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.26 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Silva | 80c | 1,230$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Silva | 71c | 1,080$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Silva | 71c | 964.85$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.41 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Silva | 70c | 922.2$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…95fcbacked Silva | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Grasso | 30c | 762.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Grasso | 31c | 645$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Grasso | 31c | 580.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Silva | 65c | 481.64$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Silva | 66c | 472.29$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grasso | 29c | 441$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grasso | 31c | 428$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Silva | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Grasso | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Grasso | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Silva | 69c | 389.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Silva | 67c | 389.41$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Grasso | 21c | 374.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grasso | 27c | 365.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Grasso | 29c | 362.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Grasso | 6c | 323.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Grasso | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Silva | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Silva | 69c | 299.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Silva | 68c | 290$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grasso | 30c | 285.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Silva | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Silva | 66c | 254.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Silva | 70c | 245$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…40e1backed Silva | 70c | 235.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…06acbacked Grasso | 31c | 230.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grasso | 31c | 223.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Grasso | 32c | 222$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Grasso | 33c | 200.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Grasso | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Grasso | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Grasso | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e7…5dd6backed Grasso | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Grasso | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Grasso | 32c | 164.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Grasso | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Grasso | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Grasso | 31c | 159.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…7b5ebacked Grasso | 33c | 145$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Silva | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375c…8c1fbacked Grasso | 31c | 137.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Silva | 71c | 136.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…a744backed Grasso | 18c | 136.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Grasso | 30c | 136$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…357bbacked Grasso | 32c | 126.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…96aebacked Grasso | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfc…51d8backed Silva | 70c | 113.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Grasso | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Grasso | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Grasso | 31c | 101.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Silva | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c3…611abacked Silva | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Grasso | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Grasso | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Silva | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Grasso | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…424abacked Grasso | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Grasso | 21c | 96.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…526cbacked Grasso | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…8a19backed Grasso | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Grasso | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…673fbacked Silva | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grasso vs. Silvathis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.