UFC · resolved market
Barriault vs. Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d0442b6e220d74734d0cd712fbc51662aa5bdd6055165a54de263c0d1cd6ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barriaultof Barriault, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86eb…a20ebacked Silva | 42c | 28,765$12,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,081.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…a24bbacked Barriault | 58c | 28,765$16,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,081.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Barriault | 63c | 12,688$8,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.87 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Silva | 38c | 6,549$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.28 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Silva | 36c | 6,466$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Silva | 39c | 4,311$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.26 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Silva | 39c | 3,050$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.83 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Silva | 39c | 2,049$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Silva | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Barriault | 63c | 1,580$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.89 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Silva | 38c | 1,524$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Barriault | 62c | 1,416$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.58 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Silva | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Silva | 39c | 1,027$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.53 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Barriault | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f0f2backed Barriault | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…8accbacked Silva | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Barriault | 57c | 983.69$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.99 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Barriault | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Silva | 38c | 907.62$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Barriault | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Barriault | 63c | 575$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Silva | 40c | 487.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Barriault | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Silva | 38c | 454.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Barriault | 61c | 435.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Silva | 34c | 430.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Barriault | 62c | 327.56$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Silva | 36c | 303.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Silva | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Barriault | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Barriault | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Barriault | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Silva | 37c | 236.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Barriault | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Silva | 41c | 185.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Barriault | 58c | 171$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Barriault | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Silva | 38c | 132.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa812…9c13backed Silva | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Silva | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Barriault | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Silva | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Barriault | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Silva | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Silva | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Silva | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Silva | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Barriault | 58c | 56.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Silva | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Barriault | 63c | 53.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Silva | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Barriault | 62c | 52.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Silva | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Silva | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Silva | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…7b5ebacked Barriault | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…673fbacked Barriault | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…772abacked Barriault | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Silva | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Barriault | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Barriault | 58c | 38.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Barriault | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Barriault | 62c | 32.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Barriault | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Barriault | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barriault vs. Silvathis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Bukauskas vs. CutelabaBukauskas won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.