UFC · resolved market
Bukauskas vs. Cutelaba
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d7b8f197627ca48287cef25bf9129b8690ae50e32010516bc7a5af8d85a60a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bukauskasof Bukauskas, Cutelaba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cutelaba | 50c | 46,429$23,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,135 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Bukauskas | 49c | 44,450$21,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500.47 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…b839backed Bukauskas | 52c | 40,629$21,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,501.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…0febbacked Cutelaba | 48c | 40,629$19,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,501.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…3830backed Cutelaba | 52c | 34,107$17,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,735.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…3ed6backed Bukauskas | 48c | 34,107$16,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,735.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cutelaba | 51c | 9,784$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.48 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Cutelaba | 52c | 7,161$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bukauskas | 49c | 4,307$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.8 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Bukauskas | 49c | 4,150$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.49 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bukauskas | 47c | 3,815$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Bukauskas | 21c | 3,751$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cutelaba | 51c | 3,152$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Bukauskas | 65c | 3,079$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Bukauskas | 50c | 2,640$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bukauskas | 31c | 2,428$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.98 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Bukauskas | 47c | 2,381$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.4 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Cutelaba | 51c | 2,290$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Bukauskas | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cutelaba | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Bukauskas | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cutelaba | 50c | 1,764$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.07 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bukauskas | 49c | 1,332$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cutelaba | 47c | 1,181$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.36 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Cutelaba | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bukauskas | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Bukauskas | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…2e13backed Bukauskas | 48c | 990$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bukauskas | 48c | 978.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.65 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cutelaba | 50c | 807$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Bukauskas | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cutelaba | 55c | 732$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.06 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bukauskas | 48c | 706.15$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Cutelaba | 51c | 700$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Bukauskas | 48c | 666$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cutelaba | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Cutelaba | 51c | 561.66$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.45 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked Cutelaba | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bukauskas | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bukauskas | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Cutelaba | 50c | 409.02$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…92b7backed Bukauskas | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cutelaba | 51c | 320$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…eb42backed Cutelaba | 52c | 295$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed Cutelaba | 52c | 295$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Cutelaba | 52c | 270$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Cutelaba | 38c | 215.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cutelaba | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Bukauskas | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bukauskas | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…0d60backed Cutelaba | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Bukauskas | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Cutelaba | 52c | 186.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bukauskas | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb0…5106backed Cutelaba | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…a459backed Cutelaba | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Bukauskas | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Bukauskas | 49c | 136$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Bukauskas | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bukauskas | 57c | 127.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cutelaba | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cutelaba | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Bukauskas | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Cutelaba | 51c | 107.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Cutelaba | 47c | 106.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Bukauskas | 56c | 101.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Cutelaba | 77c | 100.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Cutelaba | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Cutelaba | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Cutelaba | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Bukauskas | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Bukauskas | 35c | 92.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Cutelaba | 51c | 88.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cutelaba | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Bukauskas | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Bukauskas | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Bukauskas | 27c | 65.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bukauskas | 48c | 64.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…673fbacked Bukauskas | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f94bbacked Bukauskas | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…772abacked Cutelaba | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Bukauskas | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Cutelaba | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Cutelaba | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Cutelaba | 35c | 51.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Cutelaba | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa812…9c13backed Bukauskas | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Bukauskas | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…f81bbacked Bukauskas | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Cutelaba | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Cutelaba | 56c | 35.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…56f3backed Cutelaba | 53c | 31.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…68dfbacked Bukauskas | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Cutelaba | 61c | 26.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Bukauskas | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…09ddbacked Cutelaba | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Cutelaba | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bukauskas vs. Cutelabathis page
- Aldo vs. ZahabiZahabi won
- Andrade vs. JasudaviciusJasudavicius won
- Barriault vs. SilvaBarriault won
- Grasso vs. SilvaSilva won
- Katona vs. Almakhan Almakhan won
- Malott vs. RadtkeMalott won
- Muhammad vs. Della MaddalenaMaddalena won
- Santos vs. LeeSantos won
- Shevchenko vs. FiorotShevchenko won
- Stirling vs. ErslanStirling won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.