TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06ea…a4b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT9148.4%44 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Cardinalsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.01
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Junior Caminero win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.12
Will Brent Rooker win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Oneil Cruz win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$19.79
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$11.52
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+33%+$4.3
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.14
Orioles vs. Bravesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$21.21
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.91
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$18.29
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$17.97
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.32
Angels vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$16.76
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.87
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.57
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$23.59
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.04
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.18
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.79
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT8151.9%42 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.46
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$13.02
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.07
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$14.55
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+171.7%+$31.35
Over 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.97
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.45
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Over 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Over 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.96
Over 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$31.96
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.49
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$14.89
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20.05
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.45
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.82
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.9
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.84
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$14.15
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+60.2%+$12.03
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$16.16
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.8
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.85
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+131.2%+$26.24
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+86.2%+$38.22
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$18.74
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$22.33
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.16
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14.17
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.96
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$30.22
Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$21.29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+181.4%+$39.9
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will Brentford win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+300%+$42
Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Everton win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12.92
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.41
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$62.12
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.69
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. Elliottbacked Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+409.6%+$46.16
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$34.71
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverickbacked Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+39%+$10.87
UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. Barcelosbacked Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Jacoby vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.51
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+181.9%+$35.18
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+118.5%+$26.38
Bukauskas vs. Cutelababacked Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$28
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Chikadze vs. Onamabacked Chikadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyesbacked Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$37.89
Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodsonbacked Woodson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.46
Sumudaerji vs. Mitch Raposobacked Mudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.84
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.17
Lemos vs. Lucindobacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyanbacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Weili vs. Suarezbacked Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Ultra Primebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$24.29
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIAbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.99
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+137.3%+$24.72
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Hanwha Life backed Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$5.57
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.76
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$14.73
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$15.02
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.9
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOIbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$42.64
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$21.23
MSI Playoffs: Anyone's Legend vs. FlyQuestbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-68.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat PSG in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.77
Manchester City vs. Al Ain: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$10.82
Will River Plate vs. Monterrey end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Botafogo beat PSG?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$34.22
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Valkyries vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$9.22
Sky vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$11.36
Dream vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico beat USA? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$16.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+128.3%+$12.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil beat Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$67.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.