Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2181b6c4d303c15c35028fbeb8b3d1dce6cc30c5ad7d9f6324439c89c2968bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13b8…86f8backed Yes | 30c | 10,038$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,026.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…fcf9backed No | 70c | 10,020$7,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Yes | 40c | 4,905$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 2,324$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.07 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 10c | 2,037$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 26c | 1,567$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 49c | 1,219$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.53 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 80c | 1,075$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 70c | 909$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 71c | 707.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 49c | 532.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 49c | 303.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 44c | 209.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 42c | 189.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 56c | 175.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 140.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 128.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 56c | 127.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 106.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 68c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…e97abacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…8c24backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 33c | 62.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked No | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes | 49c | 45.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 30c | 44.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…d5a1backed No | 71c | 42.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…186abacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed No | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…0416backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-03-15?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.