TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fa1…591a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Boxing, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT6450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+203%+$486.82
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$1,050.2
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$477
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$903.27
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+74%+$768.64
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$254.51
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$889.9
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$617.14
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.17
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.51
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.82
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$432.01
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$447.2
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$427.5
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$252
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$755.47
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$757.7
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$693.12
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,783.53
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$280
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$124.33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.01
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.7
Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.87
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$335.98
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Wolves vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$287.63
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$113
Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Brighton vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$420.59
Will Newcastle vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$82.14
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$639.41
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$174.4
Will Crystal Palace vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$202.93
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$104.93
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$303.88
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$467.21
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$191.56
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$502.19
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$133
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$86.8
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Predators vs. Hurricanesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$57.9
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.46
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$200.29
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$174
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$349.46
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+100%+$363.22
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.13
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+42.9%+$9
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.06
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+525%+$168
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.52
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.29
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+378.5%+$79.1
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48.53
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.98
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.82
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$210.42
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$530.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$44.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$190.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$407.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.