TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c9d…68dcbacked No40c65,170$26,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,101.87966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes60c48,503$29,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,101.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No64c8,473$5,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.715754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2680…7fb0backed No65c6,915$4,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…8876backed Yes35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca5…52a2backed Yes36c5,443$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No64c5,400$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.3736851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes51c4,879$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.999244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac8a…daa9backed No66c4,222$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes36c3,544$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2764425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No64c3,431$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.1712359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes36c3,333$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes38c2,121$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.989643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No44c1,668$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.435853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7548…285bbacked Yes36c1,431$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10d…d90ebacked Yes36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa985…75a1backed Yes36c1,390$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No64c1,386$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.8629136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes33c1,206$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes60c1,122$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.954052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes36c1,063$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.682254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No66c1,000$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.662857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No64c999.98$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes21c951.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7613232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes55c921.98$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.757737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc75…4db4backed Yes35c915.35$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes61c900$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.491723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid+186.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes35c850$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.52222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Yes35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x542b…4b76backed Yes48c707.15$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.431020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes51c695.12$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.89350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes36c691.61$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9815250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No65c560.85$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.592365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf4…8f44backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes8c549.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed Yes34c534.31$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No41c525.33$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.482948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes59c510.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked No65c504.56$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad7c…004dbacked No65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+115.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No64c445.59$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4117658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41fc…83f3backed No65c428.97$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x780a…ffc4backed Yes35c428.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes35c415.91$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.578040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes34c345$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.31442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes14c341.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4880%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes35c337.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.06540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes35c321.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.520133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No64c314$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…9729backed Yes36c305.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0811132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3ef2backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…aab2backed Yes35c253.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.73633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes50c252.49$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.612227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c252$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe449…57cfbacked Yes38c231.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes11c220.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Yes38c210.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes36c205.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No65c202$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.77346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No50c200.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0824455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed No44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122035%7 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed No43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6d…cd3abacked Yes37c191.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Yes35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe23a…419dbacked Yes35c169$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24d…0a3ebacked Yes38c165$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…70f7backed Yes62c161.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393a…b3b2backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8518650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes35c142.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes36c138.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.799538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x150b…394cbacked No65c137.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes37c134.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0170…c555backed Yes36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfb…f862backed No64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…398cbacked No41c118$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86d…ac82backed No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+172.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c113.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.876955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb61…caf9backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38bc…c0a2backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…a97dbacked No64c107$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d52…65a9backed Yes36c107$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No64c105$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1928357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes37c103.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes36c100.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03fc…0393backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.