TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x732b…85f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST6050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.01
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.26
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$52
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$378.52
Canadiens vs. Canucksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$65.88
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.8
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.16
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+130%+$248.9
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.45
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+316.7%+$56.99
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$38.85
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$134.87
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100.1
Kings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.31
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.88
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+100%+$230
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.85
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.63
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+203%+$182.63
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.28
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.65
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51.52
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$277.64
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$109.65
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$715.42
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$321.94
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$64.39
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$108.91
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$165.96
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+108.3%+$104
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+130.3%+$76.89
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$161.14
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$58.05
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$24.94
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+108.3%+$16.92
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$151.58
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+156.4%+$92.46
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+72.4%+$24.83
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$50.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22.91
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$203.55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$178.42
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$57.24
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96.32
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+133.9%+$228.99
Will Team Spirit win the ESL Katowice Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$231.08
Will Team Vitality win the ESL Katowice Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+233.3%+$210
Will Natus Vincere win the ESL Katowice Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$83.98
Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+562.3%+$140.93
Will G2 Esports win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$45.05
Will G2 win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+566.7%+$66.13
Will NaVi win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
Will B8 win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will PAIN Gaming win ESL Challenger Katowice 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$49.7
Will Vitality win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.32
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.76
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.06
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+285.2%+$116.51
Will Wolves win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$73.92
Will Manchester United vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$44.83
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$16.99
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$145.74
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+197.7%+$426.7
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$49.15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+122.2%+$60.5
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+354.5%+$529.16
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$83.31
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$46.2
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+81.8%+$13.97
Will Everton win on 2024-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Tottenham beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$44.87
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$82.35
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.3
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$294.28
Will Barcelona vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.77
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+169.1%+$129.34
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+94.5%+$67.54
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.94
Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+316.7%+$1,035.26
Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$182.16
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2024, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Will France beat Italy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+211.1%+$339.73
Will Croatia beat Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will France beat Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Ukraine beat Czech Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Will the match between Iceland and Turkey end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+56.2%+$14.4
Will Germany beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will the match between Kazakhstan and Slovenia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the match between Serbia and Switzerland end in a draw? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$21.1
Will Ukraine beat Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+132.6%+$23.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$162.35
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+72.8%+$97.58
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+78.6%+$21.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+143.9%+$31.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.