NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175d4b07e0a9da41bfeaaa970818fc1a6a66f4159b9ee635857f494273ae4b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,098,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,051,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,098,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 984 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Warriors | 14c | 106,140$15,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,116.36 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Warriors | 14c | 69,025$9,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,667.46 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 19c | 65,509$12,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,244.54 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 40c | 47,154$18,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,659.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Warriors | 0c | 19,875$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lakers | 59c | 16,222$9,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.99 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 59c | 12,938$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,673.64 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 39c | 12,501$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.04 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 60c | 12,429$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Warriors | 55c | 11,761$6,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.29 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…c868backed Warriors | 61c | 10,403$6,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…fa36backed Lakers | 39c | 10,366$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,323.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc132…2f63backed Lakers | 43c | 10,038$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…451ebacked Warriors | 57c | 10,026$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 51c | 9,623$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.34 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Lakers | 69c | 9,540$6,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.26 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 47c | 9,279$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.68 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Lakers | 53c | 9,100$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers | 57c | 9,053$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.23 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…e99dbacked Warriors | 1c | 9,021$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 41c | 8,569$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.72 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 26c | 8,407$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.42 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 59c | 8,283$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.8 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 39c | 7,572$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.48 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Lakers | 52c | 7,497$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Lakers | 75c | 6,663$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.63 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers | 74c | 6,225$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.4 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Lakers | 63c | 5,759$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.49 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Warriors | 1c | 5,252$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Lakers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Warriors | 52c | 4,315$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Warriors | 53c | 4,261$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Lakers | 37c | 4,211$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 8c | 4,192$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.92 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…adc1backed Warriors | 1c | 4,015$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Warriors | 56c | 3,859$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.37 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 59c | 3,700$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.88 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Lakers | 59c | 3,620$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.64 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Warriors | 61c | 3,470$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.65 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 39c | 3,430$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.42 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Lakers | 48c | 3,190$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.85 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Lakers | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…b469backed Warriors | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Lakers | 40c | 2,732$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.29 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 48c | 2,635$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.1 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Lakers | 77c | 2,560$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.48 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Lakers | 43c | 2,548$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.69 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 61c | 2,474$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.74 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,222$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.53 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…5c5fbacked Warriors | 1c | 2,135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Warriors | 51c | 2,011$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.92 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 5c | 1,871$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Lakers | 40c | 1,800$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Warriors | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Lakers | 74c | 1,612$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.18 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 47c | 1,602$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.92 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Lakers | 41c | 1,541$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.46 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…ad70backed Lakers | 39c | 1,538$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 62c | 1,528$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.5 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Lakers | 41c | 1,415$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.63 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Warriors | 60c | 1,383$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.67 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,298$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.67 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Warriors | 62c | 1,291$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Warriors | 74c | 1,286$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.06 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Lakers | 63c | 1,263$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.92 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Lakers | 41c | 1,244$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.77 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Warriors | 15c | 1,235$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Lakers | 49c | 1,226$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.05 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Lakers | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Lakers | 65c | 1,161$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.55 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Lakers | 60c | 1,156$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Lakers | 44c | 1,155$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.47 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Warriors | 3c | 1,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Lakers | 44c | 1,130$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.06 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Warriors | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.7 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Lakers | 42c | 1,100$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.6 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Lakers | 75c | 1,044$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.03 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Lakers | 44c | 1,030$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.66 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Warriors | 62c | 1,013$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.3 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Lakers | 40c | 1,011$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lakers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Warriors | 61c | 1,000$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.6 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Lakers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Warriors | 62c | 1,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…641dbacked Lakers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Lakers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked Warriors | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Lakers | 39c | 972.9$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Warriors | 58c | 966.62$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.64 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Warriors | 1c | 965.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…780cbacked Lakers | 41c | 962.02$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Lakers | 41c | 951.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Warriors | 46c | 948.93$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.51 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Lakers | 74c | 926.57$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Lakers | 41c | 911.78$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…527abacked Lakers | 43c | 895.92$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.57 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.