TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x606f…b3b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.68
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+71.3%+$114.15
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+170.8%+$133.23
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,335.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+150%+$68.13
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.41
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$239.54
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$1,999.67
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$999.83
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$499.89
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$249.94
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+81.8%+$747.59
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$250.19
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$250
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$249.99
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$499.55
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,602.27
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+400%+$999.82
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$149.98
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+194.1%+$1,012.99
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+72.4%+$120.12
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+66.7%+$66.4
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$25.6
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$19.46
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$328
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,327.75
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$390.93
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,399Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$2,496.71
Falcons vs. 49ers: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$81.4
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$921.5
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.87
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.37
DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$354.85
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$93.6
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$724.45
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+244.8%+$244.77
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+85.3%+$469.4
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$34.49
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$226.08
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$217.48
49ers vs. Billsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$52.54
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$34
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+203%+$201
Colts vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$329.46
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$285
Buccaneers vs. Chiefsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$35.35
Colts vs. Vikingsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$344
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$535.98
Jaguars vs. Eaglesbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$100.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,998.75
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$594
O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$137.25
Missouri State vs. Arkansas State: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$817.76
Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$499.4
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+175.3%+$1,752.32
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$549.73
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,499.43
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500.59
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLAbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.69
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,525
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.28
Fresno State vs. Hawai'ibacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$470.4
UNLV vs. Miami (OH)backed UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$110.88
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$270.4
Minnesota vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$484.03
Clemson vs. Texasbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$1,999.53
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$249.98
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$274.73
Texas vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+81.8%+$204.5
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$399.97
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$499.88
Will Fulham win on 2024-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST+88.7%+$36.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$549
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$505.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$897.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,227.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$289
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$145.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.