Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba9ae64948b7428df62b284e6184350ed59a621cd7ad74272a65192a05b31a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri State Bearsof Missouri State Bears, Liberty Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Liberty Flames | 56c | 15,328$8,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,651.38 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri State Bears | 41c | 8,890$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Missouri State Bears | 64c | 4,391$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Liberty Flames | 14c | 4,158$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.09 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 4,000$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.16 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri State Bears | 27c | 3,421$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 2,865$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Missouri State Bears | 42c | 2,820$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.63 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Missouri State Bears | 31c | 2,751$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.14 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri State Bears | 28c | 2,589$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.23 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Liberty Flames | 75c | 1,182$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.14 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 992.86$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.07 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Liberty Flames | 75c | 963.13$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Missouri State Bears | 65c | 950.56$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.13 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Missouri State Bears | 26c | 832.84$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.33 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Missouri State Bears | 27c | 799.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Liberty Flames | 68c | 750.84$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.7 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Liberty Flames | 24c | 681.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liberty Flames | 46c | 673.29$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liberty Flames | 70c | 575.88$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 559.18$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Liberty Flames | 70c | 533.87$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty Flames | 57c | 533.03$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri State Bears | 36c | 521.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Missouri State Bears | 33c | 482.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liberty Flames | 69c | 475.28$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.07 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Liberty Flames | 28c | 436.04$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Liberty Flames | 39c | 361.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Liberty Flames | 36c | 325.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liberty Flames | 32c | 316.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Missouri State Bears | 33c | 300.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…d4c9backed Liberty Flames | 70c | 288.56$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Missouri State Bears | 30c | 286.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Missouri State Bears | 29c | 277.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 268.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 259.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Missouri State Bears | 60c | 257.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Missouri State Bears | 12c | 252.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.21 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Missouri State Bears | 21c | 236.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Missouri State Bears | 56c | 230.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Missouri State Bears | 35c | 229.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty Flames | 34c | 210.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Missouri State Bears | 30c | 190.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Liberty Flames | 36c | 160.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Liberty Flames | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 138.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 125.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Missouri State Bears | 30c | 125.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Liberty Flames | 12c | 124.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liberty Flames | 59c | 115.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Missouri State Bears | 14c | 101.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Liberty Flames | 68c | 100.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Missouri State Bears | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Missouri State Bears | 71c | 99.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Liberty Flames | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Missouri State Bears | 79c | 78.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 77.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Missouri State Bears | 33c | 74.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…8128backed Missouri State Bears | 27c | 73.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Liberty Flames | 59c | 70.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Liberty Flames | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Liberty Flames | 36c | 65.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Missouri State Bears | 40c | 57.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Missouri State Bears | 32c | 57.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Missouri State Bears | 60c | 57.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Missouri State Bears | 48c | 50.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Missouri State Bears | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed Missouri State Bears | 67c | 49.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…1d94backed Liberty Flames | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liberty Flames | 41c | 42.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Liberty Flames | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Liberty Flames | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Missouri State Bears | 25c | 39.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Missouri State Bears | 35c | 35.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Missouri State Bears | 46c | 30.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Liberty Flames | 68c | 29.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…48a3backed Missouri State Bears | 52c | 26.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Liberty Flames | 57c | 24.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 24.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…52e8backed Liberty Flames | 74c | 21.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…34d5backed Liberty Flames | 63c | 20.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Liberty Flames | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Liberty Flames | 58c | 19.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Liberty Flames | 74c | 17.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Liberty Flames | 69c | 16.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…a5dfbacked Liberty Flames | 68c | 15.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesthis page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-4.5)Missouri State Bears won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-5.5)Missouri State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.