TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3cee…3f91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT9824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap Cana: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.68
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Cap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Santiago: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Santiago: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$113.85
Phoenix: Nuno Borges vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.57
Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Cherbourg: Filippo Romano vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.33
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Maximilian Neuchrist · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hersonissos 2: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuelbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Cap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.02
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sonay Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Phoenix: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.91
Cap Cana: Luca Van Assche vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Santiago: Gonzalo Bueno vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Cap Cana: Mackenzie McDonald vs Martin Landalucebacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+338%+$135.82
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Austin: Sinja Kraus vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$122.44
Santiago: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Cherbourg: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Borna Gojobacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs Norriebacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
Austin: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cherbourg: August Holmgren vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.72
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.09
Delaware State Hornets vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.43
Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Ramsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.81
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.72
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.78
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$169.76
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$187
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.67
Weber State Wildcats vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.93
Towson Tigers vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.07
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+657.6%+$654.92
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$118.35
Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$89
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.62
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.39
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.35
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.13
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$404
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$130
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.