Tennis · resolved market
Cap Cana: Luca Van Assche vs Tristan Schoolkate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e33526fe22f31a5b3262a805e8e3af932ba82bfd2f0f97a973da6fda987331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Luca Van Assche, Tristan Schoolkate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,042 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tristan Schoolkate | 32c | 2,127$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.15 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tristan Schoolkate | 15c | 1,902$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Tristan Schoolkate | 14c | 1,698$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Tristan Schoolkate | 25c | 1,568$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Tristan Schoolkate | 21c | 962.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tristan Schoolkate | 25c | 704.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Van Assche | 67c | 616.62$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Tristan Schoolkate | 18c | 561.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Luca Van Assche | 67c | 452.82$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Luca Van Assche | 68c | 437.85$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Luca Van Assche | 69c | 431$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luca Van Assche | 75c | 381.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tristan Schoolkate | 9c | 349$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 8c | 345.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 333.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Luca Van Assche | 78c | 285$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tristan Schoolkate | 31c | 278.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luca Van Assche | 68c | 257$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tristan Schoolkate | 33c | 252.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 214.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 208.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 32c | 205.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Tristan Schoolkate | 33c | 177.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 32c | 170.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 166$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 155.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Tristan Schoolkate | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Tristan Schoolkate | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…df9ebacked Tristan Schoolkate | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tristan Schoolkate | 33c | 123$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 37c | 115.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 29c | 87.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Luca Van Assche | 68c | 79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…0d6cbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 13c | 78.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Luca Van Assche | 67c | 77.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tristan Schoolkate | 31c | 68.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Tristan Schoolkate | 22c | 68.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Tristan Schoolkate | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 30c | 56.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tristan Schoolkate | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tristan Schoolkate | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tristan Schoolkate | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 44.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Luca Van Assche | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Luca Van Assche | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tristan Schoolkate | 26c | 43.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Luca Van Assche | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Luca Van Assche | 66c | 37.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Tristan Schoolkate | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Luca Van Assche | 69c | 25.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Luca Van Assche | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.