TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x84c7…bea7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
701
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT66452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 664 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Katarina Kujovicbacked Ana Giraldi Requena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.39
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.73
Kosice: Federico Bondioli vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
Centurion: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Robert Strombachsbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.94
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovicbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
ITF Monastir: Beatrice Stagno vs Viola Bedinibacked Viola Bedini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kosice: Lilian Marmousez vs Taro Danielbacked Lilian Marmousez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardibacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
ITF Kayseri: Deniz Dilek vs Ann Akasha Ceucabacked Ann Akasha Ceuca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
ITF Fukui: Eunchae Kim vs Riko Kikawadabacked Eunchae Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$48.61
ITF Lakewood: Bianca Jolie Fernandez vs Carolina Bohrer Martinsbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Centurion: Luc Koenig vs Dominik Palanbacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Centurion: Filip Peliwo vs Arda Azkarabacked Arda Azkara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Kosice: Peter Fajta vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouamebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Centurion: Robert Strombachs vs Robin Bertrandbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Chisinau: Filip Jianu vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Yanan Houbacked Chenting Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.62
Little Rock: Andres Martin vs Yuta Shimizubacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 664 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$63.11
Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.58
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.36
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$50.94
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.23
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.9
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.9
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Senators vs. Flames: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+93.9%+$16.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.