Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Federico Bondioli vs Kilian Feldbausch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6898f9651c7095d6e5c09526e6b97d8a46b099614034b478133adedbda755ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kilian Feldbauschof Federico Bondioli, Kilian Feldbausch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Federico Bondioli | 34c | 2,319$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.83 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Kilian Feldbausch | 72c | 1,444$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.6 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 59c | 1,410$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.54 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Federico Bondioli | 18c | 1,378$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kilian Feldbausch | 56c | 1,361$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.79 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Federico Bondioli | 19c | 1,221$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Federico Bondioli | 49c | 1,174$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.73 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 49c | 1,094$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.01 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Federico Bondioli | 34c | 509.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Federico Bondioli | 52c | 479.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kilian Feldbausch | 62c | 374.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Kilian Feldbausch | 44c | 296.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Federico Bondioli | 34c | 285.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 280$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Federico Bondioli | 16c | 230.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Kilian Feldbausch | 62c | 227.65$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 227.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kilian Feldbausch | 79c | 222.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 51c | 217.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kilian Feldbausch | 70c | 211.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Federico Bondioli | 51c | 189.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Federico Bondioli | 37c | 179$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Federico Bondioli | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 73c | 146.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kilian Feldbausch | 54c | 131.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Kilian Feldbausch | 76c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Federico Bondioli | 27c | 124.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Federico Bondioli | 38c | 118.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Federico Bondioli | 33c | 98.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Federico Bondioli | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Federico Bondioli | 36c | 77.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Federico Bondioli | 53c | 67.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Federico Bondioli | 33c | 63.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Federico Bondioli | 42c | 62.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Federico Bondioli | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Kilian Feldbausch | 67c | 57.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 53.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Federico Bondioli | 35c | 51.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 49.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Federico Bondioli | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Federico Bondioli | 36c | 47.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Federico Bondioli | 34c | 45.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Federico Bondioli | 34c | 42.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…22e9backed Kilian Feldbausch | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Federico Bondioli | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 39.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Kilian Feldbausch | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kilian Feldbausch | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Federico Bondioli | 54c | 34.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Federico Bondioli | 37c | 31.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kilian Feldbausch | 65c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Federico Bondioli | 42c | 30.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Federico Bondioli | 33c | 30.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Kilian Feldbausch | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Kilian Feldbausch | 57c | 29.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kilian Feldbausch | 52c | 27.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…18d8backed Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 59c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Federico Bondioli | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Federico Bondioli | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kilian Feldbausch | 67c | 22.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Kilian Feldbausch | 48c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…0063backed Kilian Feldbausch | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Kilian Feldbausch | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…97cabacked Kilian Feldbausch | 66c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Kilian Feldbausch | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 71c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.