TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x585e…019f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 31.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeneybacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$74.66
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$32.68
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$81.24
Foggia: Darya Astakhova vs Lisa Pigatobacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.71
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dangbacked Laura Mair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$192.38
Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Heilbronn: Matej Dodig vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Wuning: Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Xinxin Yaobacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$97.48
ITF Sumter: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Anna Rogersbacked Anna Rogers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$98.3
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Prostejov: Viktor Durasovic vs Norbert Gombosbacked Viktor Durasovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.99
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$111.23
Foggia: Lisa Zaar vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$140.63
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Milos Karol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+125%+$125
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Bartonbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.42
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.56
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sunbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dartbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-9.1wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-61.9%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$37.87
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.38
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.48
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.01
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.98
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+102%+$61.2
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$53.63
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.97
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Evictix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$85.51
Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: BESTIA vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Team Evictix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$80.52
Valorant: Pigeons vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.