WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92943a5eb97d7223da904998b49f8b8e01c546760b9e69f9629418fa1946341d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Indiana Fever, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 18c | 32,969$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,020.16 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 18,188$10,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,223.54 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked PortlandFire | 52c | 15,665$8,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,458.96 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 15,454$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire | 19c | 6,479$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236.53 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed PortlandFire | 37c | 6,221$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.94 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed PortlandFire | 20c | 4,630$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Indiana Fever | 0c | 3,830$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed PortlandFire | 63c | 3,420$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked PortlandFire | 17c | 3,413$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.73 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked PortlandFire | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.76 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Indiana Fever | 0c | 2,600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Indiana Fever | 2c | 2,250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Indiana Fever | 5c | 2,093$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed PortlandFire | 18c | 1,948$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 1,909$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked PortlandFire | 68c | 1,627$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.46 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed PortlandFire | 31c | 1,580$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.49 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Indiana Fever | 57c | 1,496$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.84 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Indiana Fever | 79c | 1,352$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.36 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 1,340$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.73 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 1,260$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 1,205$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.71 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Indiana Fever | 34c | 1,187$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 59c | 1,167$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.94 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 41c | 1,152$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.72 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.65 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 33c | 1,138$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.06 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…2b32backed PortlandFire | 21c | 1,090$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed PortlandFire | 38c | 1,034$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked PortlandFire | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed PortlandFire | 75c | 976.07$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 975.79$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Fever | 57c | 817.2$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.04 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed PortlandFire | 49c | 816.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 60c | 806.44$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.76 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed PortlandFire | 19c | 790$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed PortlandFire | 66c | 744.62$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.47 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Indiana Fever | 28c | 720.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked PortlandFire | 68c | 717.47$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked PortlandFire | 39c | 685$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.51 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Indiana Fever | 25c | 674.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.36 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Indiana Fever | 25c | 673.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 80c | 672$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed PortlandFire | 43c | 655$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.71 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed PortlandFire | 17c | 571.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.89 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…221dbacked PortlandFire | 55c | 488.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed PortlandFire | 31c | 483$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PortlandFire | 41c | 467.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.27 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed PortlandFire | 18c | 459.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed PortlandFire | 21c | 456$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed PortlandFire | 43c | 433.12$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.43 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked PortlandFire | 39c | 415.84$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 17c | 393.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.51 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Indiana Fever | 30c | 368.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed PortlandFire | 18c | 367.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 358.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed PortlandFire | 20c | 345.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 343.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 51c | 332.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 318.28$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Indiana Fever | 79c | 316.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed PortlandFire | 39c | 292.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked PortlandFire | 21c | 263$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed PortlandFire | 40c | 260.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked PortlandFire | 49c | 240.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed PortlandFire | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 63c | 205.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked PortlandFire | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f873backed PortlandFire | 73c | 203.4$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked PortlandFire | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever | 28c | 193.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Indiana Fever | 8c | 175$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed PortlandFire | 31c | 166.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PortlandFire | 57c | 166.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire | 43c | 163.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed PortlandFire | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Indiana Fever | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed PortlandFire | 20c | 149.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed PortlandFire | 30c | 146.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 144.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed PortlandFire | 46c | 143.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Indiana Fever | 31c | 140.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked PortlandFire | 74c | 135.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Indiana Fever | 18c | 132$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed PortlandFire | 60c | 131.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 129.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 53c | 127.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 127$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 124.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed PortlandFire | 64c | 120.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed PortlandFire | 58c | 117.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked PortlandFire | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed PortlandFire | 45c | 107.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed PortlandFire | 35c | 107$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirethis page
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.