TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f64…ba01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
761
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT42740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 427 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$92.72
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.66
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.02
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.55
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$43.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.99
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$115.49
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.82
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+82%+$46.65
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.54
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 427 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT17236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.45
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$57.78
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.36
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.97
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 1 Winnerbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.5
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 1 Winnerbacked Atputies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 6666 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 6666 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.63
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.17
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.33
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10039%39 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$104.27
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.43
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$76.73
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.49
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.21
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$36.71
Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Feverbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.17
New York Liberty vs. Washington Mysticsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$40.71
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$59.51
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Chicago Sky vs. Portland Firebacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$11.31
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+454%+$168.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.35
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.37
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.96
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.7
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Jackson State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.89
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.63
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-8.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.87
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$23.17
Ole Miss vs. Iowa Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$26.96
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+87.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+198.5%+$242.22
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$42.52
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Will Solana dip to $150 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+255.6%+$127.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+168.8%+$62.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$35.04
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$43.62
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$46.05
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.63
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$78.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.