NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9f6eeb40f78807c478995019f10e7eb6c25c2545bfa40ccbc276b11167bcff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 1,300$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.5 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Under | 55c | 1,100$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 51c | 663.5$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 594.73$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.26 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 509.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 55c | 310$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 279.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 49c | 246.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Under | 53c | 191.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 47c | 171.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…e09ebacked Under | 33c | 152.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 51c | 102.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Over | 47c | 85.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Under | 46c | 76.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 52c | 49.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Under | 45c | 49.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…7e93backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 67c | 42.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 55c | 42.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 47c | 38.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 55c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 69c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.