TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves47c16,550$7,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,778.4621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs57c10,105$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,345.2620352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Timberwolves52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.992330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs53c7,986$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs49c5,995$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.2865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves43c5,537$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Spurs48c5,070$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.185345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves43c5,006$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.7455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Spurs49c4,870$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Timberwolves51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe830…3b3bbacked Spurs56c3,790$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+163.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Spurs53c3,721$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.071471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spurs56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54017052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Timberwolves44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Timberwolves51c3,052$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.797545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Timberwolves52c2,962$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.4624151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ed…d916backed Spurs49c2,870$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c2,555$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Spurs48c2,385$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.4218343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves44c2,238$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Spurs53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94014731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Timberwolves43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs49c1,887$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Timberwolves52c1,759$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.5644252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Timberwolves51c1,531$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.0114746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Timberwolves51c1,524$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Timberwolves47c1,426$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.217143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Timberwolves51c1,361$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.2544052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97b…879dbacked Spurs66c1,213$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.841526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-61.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs48c1,205$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Timberwolves43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Timberwolves47c1,069$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4317247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Timberwolves46c1,050$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Timberwolves51c1,017$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.8838261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ae0…bf77backed Timberwolves53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Spurs57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4308541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Timberwolves46c999.93$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.978348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Spurs49c998.88$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.081,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Spurs48c992.93$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.3212857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.415252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs55c821.44$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves27c735.48$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.421,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Spurs56c710.39$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs49c701.25$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Spurs55c689.05$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.076647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Timberwolves51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Spurs49c568$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6825951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Timberwolves50c563.37$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.737848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs52c560.84$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.81,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ee…0afabacked Spurs49c499.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Spurs56c441.11$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0915649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Spurs52c362.37$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9418044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Timberwolves45c360$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Spurs57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8811850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Timberwolves43c344.26$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Timberwolves44c343.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Timberwolves52c338.55$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2321653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Timberwolves52c326.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33b…2372backed Timberwolves53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec5…257ebacked Spurs58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Spurs53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.023246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Spurs55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.736657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Spurs56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.864450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Spurs49c267.8$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0234641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Timberwolves43c254.31$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3514148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b07…c2dcbacked Timberwolves53c244.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Spurs57c235.75$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.754146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Spurs49c232.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.610248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Timberwolves43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Timberwolves53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves43c217.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.731,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Spurs46c204.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.616743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Timberwolves50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…3a96backed Spurs58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843129%9 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs68c196.59$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Timberwolves47c189.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.14540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs53c189$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.831,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Spurs53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6813956.1%78 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Timberwolves53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaa…05e1backed Spurs53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Timberwolves31c175$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed Timberwolves51c170.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.776558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Spurs66c163.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.371637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Spurs53c157.5$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3826651.1%136 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b6…ef54backed Spurs58c155.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.173351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Spurs53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9481845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Spurs56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Timberwolves46c149.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Timberwolves44c138.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs56c136.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62d6…8a44backed Spurs53c120.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.632638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Timberwolves42c119.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves35c117.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Spurs53c116.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.569944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Spurs47c112$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.368353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Timberwolves48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506160.7%37 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Spurs48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174055%22 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.