TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc97b…879d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$175.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$121
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$159.62
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$167.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$82.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$133.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.14
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$18.32
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$889.28
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$398
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$496.94
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$878.39
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$225.32
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$672.59
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$428
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$553.78
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$828
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$289.51
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,961Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$2,131.34
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$491
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.97
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.76
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$210.82
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$373
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$512.91
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$649.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$714.93
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$606.52
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.4
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$116.01
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$541.83
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$268.65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-61.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.81
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.15
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.38
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.27
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$649.59
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$583.7
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51%+$409.84
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,364.35
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$507.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.58
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.55
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.64
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$357.68
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$252.87
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$134.84
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$282.43
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$154.61
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+55%+$270.24
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$1,089.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,562.83
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$449.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$836.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$200.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.