TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3673…2d13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.4
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$844.04
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.67
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.98
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$765.38
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$842.92
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$895.3
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$780.08
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$861.38
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.87
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$796.62
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$857.82
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.21
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.8
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$829.56
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$1,538.32
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.4
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.99
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$771
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$775
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$935.01
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$870.35
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT5457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.6
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,851.75
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,418.78
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,118.45
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,088.61
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,741.68
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,213.29
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.2
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,033.51
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.99
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$537.6
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,209.46
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$811.61
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$191.89
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.99
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.12
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.76
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.84
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.41
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.7
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.92
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.88
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.8
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.26
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.55
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$184.73
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$184.8
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,071.51
Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$1,048.3
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,529.35
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.16
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.19
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,313.2
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$1,601.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$559.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$770.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.