WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd28227a336332a698322b02799aa6f96cca6c75bd08c576a4ecd6aca2fb06d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Toronto Tempo, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Tempo | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 2,025$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.27 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 503.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.11 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 496$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 409.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 339$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Toronto Tempo | 54c | 185.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Chicago Sky | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 108.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 105.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 65.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Toronto Tempo | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…ee61backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 39.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 36.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 32.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.