WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4e80ef4cfdba7b6930b61587b45300aede0ffe3a3cccadb5a78e1cbcc57644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 2,538$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.04 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 61c | 2,050$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 62c | 1,995$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.07 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 1,454$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 1,068$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 690$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.9 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 665.82$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.13 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 110.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 41c | 63.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 22.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.