WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3e1085ee5403095fd323a0b94603a97d6fbce91b569f637c59c8ecb3b006e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.95 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 53c | 19,911$10,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,352.72 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 48c | 11,667$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 49c | 9,966$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.09 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 48c | 8,144$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.65 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 7,481$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.49 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 36c | 4,676$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.19 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 3,542$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.16 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 80c | 1,451$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.93 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 1,430$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.62 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Under | 71c | 1,192$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 1,110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 45c | 776.37$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.05 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 710.92$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.95 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 51c | 631.37$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 597.96$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 568.01$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 47c | 358$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 37c | 338.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Over | 49c | 304.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 248.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 216.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 150.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed Over | 49c | 146.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 10c | 127.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 47c | 121.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 112.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 63c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Under | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 25c | 75.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 36c | 61.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 50c | 60.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 52.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 45c | 50.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 52c | 48.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 52c | 42.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 52c | 41.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…5885backed Over | 47c | 32.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 30.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 30.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8ccfbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Under | 66c | 22.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 64c | 17.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.