WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2626dad5371837b0dfdabfa9f4640a93d668f4d79028b6ef2484bb517d037f0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Toronto Tempo, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 31,107$15,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,155.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 25,528$12,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,453.88 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.91 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 8,110$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 4,637$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,382$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.42 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,579$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.65 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,132$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.27 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 820$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 61c | 805.93$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 332.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 199.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 152.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 150.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 132.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago Sky | 16c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 113.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 110.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Toronto Tempo | 60c | 104.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 89.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 87.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 79.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 57.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 49.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 42.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 36.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 35c | 32.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 30.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.