TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a03…4066

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: WNBA, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 64 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+64.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
WNBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$152.77
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-3.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.22
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$82.17
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56.47
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$55.03
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$68.69
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$59.22
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$76.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$79.92
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$75.08
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+352.2%+$119.76
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Jonathan Osorio: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Jaminton Campaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+692.3%+$207.69
Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+619.6%+$185.88
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58%+$36.55
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+72.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.81
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$65.46
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$73.14
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$75.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+183%+$182.98
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$100.14
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 0.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jonesbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Daybacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$14.28
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Foggia: Tatiana Prozorova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$88.54
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$91.24
All 4 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.