Fifa International · resolved market
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91fc5e1afe8c49936e2ff71f4e0e52e384dee3a845244d2cc0f5f5af7fbe3e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f4…f6a8backed No | 0c | 2,671$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 69c | 366.89$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.67 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Yes | 21c | 198.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Yes | 22c | 153.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 77c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 71c | 130$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Yes | 19c | 94.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 73.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 72c | 73.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 33c | 70.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 46c | 67.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 68c | 61.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 79c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed No | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsYes won
- Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gustaf Nilsson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Justin Kluivert: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 3+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noa Lang: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Yasin Ayari: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.