Fifa International · resolved market
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc791aea5b978138d7c46e9450aadba7217e4ea010e2eca86c6915364ac3e8310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 25c | 3,336$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.4 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 25c | 2,440$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 75c | 2,291$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.33 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 14c | 332.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.12 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 76c | 326.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 77c | 215$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…f50bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 76c | 159.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…36f4backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 25c | 128$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 66c | 87.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…b303backed No | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 56.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54a…df26backed No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 76c | 46.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 46.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 23.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gustaf Nilsson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Justin Kluivert: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 3+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noa Lang: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Yasin Ayari: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.