Fifa International · resolved market
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47cf8086616f6b4846e69e20ea2c0786e086585913804c5e70cc5cb7bb9b3aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 50c | 7,192$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.37 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 44c | 4,332$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.63 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 33c | 3,005$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.47 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 2,736$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.76 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 65c | 1,443$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.82 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 66c | 1,375$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.04 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 1,308$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.58 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.07 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Yes | 67c | 935.33$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 35c | 733$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacb…ccc7backed Yes | 34c | 702.53$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 34c | 585.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 31c | 545.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.05 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 484.31$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.12 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 66c | 401.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 35c | 354.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.29 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 30c | 332.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 36c | 279.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes | 24c | 258.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 253.7$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 33c | 230.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 67c | 205.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…efe0backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 34c | 144.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 143.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…98fabacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 36c | 142$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 69c | 121.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…bd88backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed No | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 34c | 88.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 37c | 82.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 34c | 77.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 34c | 74.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…3f84backed Yes | 34c | 73.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 72.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417a…6b7cbacked Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…1604backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…a6b6backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 67c | 48.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 45c | 44.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 67c | 24.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 65c | 20.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 73c | 20.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…8677backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…efd2backed No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…3014backed Yes | 67c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…41b8backed Yes | 76c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsYes won
- Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gustaf Nilsson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Justin Kluivert: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 3+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noa Lang: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Yasin Ayari: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.