TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf37e…2709

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3577.1%27 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$5.85
Austria leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$4.54
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34%+$6.8
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$3.89
Panama vs. England: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$4.83
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$9.68
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$8.87
Arda Güler: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$6.68
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35%+$8.75
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$7.4
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$10.71
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$6.03
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$11.37
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$8.19
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$7.91
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$4.31
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$12.23
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$9.52
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$7.79
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$5.01
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$5.44
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$7.15
Club Tijuana leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.8
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Unión win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.62
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.07
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$19.11
CA Mineiro leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$6.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Celje win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$9.98
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$8.7
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$9.45
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.86
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kuopion PS leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$7.48
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$7.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$8.56
Exact Score: Yokohama F·Marinos 3 - 3 Kashima Antlers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$5.58
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+54%+$12.3
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$7.87
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$6.22
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$3.88
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.