Fifa International · resolved market
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef27c5983481552c3d39ea6439b24a3981296ba4ea78be922af36cf26a73aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 57c | 15,537$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,681.02 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 56c | 9,965$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.74 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.79 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed No | 56c | 4,889$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.3 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 44c | 4,080$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed No | 58c | 3,173$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 2,852$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.62 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 42c | 2,700$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.38 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…567dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,348$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…57b1backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Yes | 44c | 2,259$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5d9abacked Yes | 44c | 2,224$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.89 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 42c | 2,211$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.62 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed No | 70c | 2,095$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 56c | 1,598$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.16 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 1,474$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…4af0backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…69cabacked Yes | 44c | 1,163$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 36c | 1,141$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 43c | 1,061$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.83 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed No | 58c | 1,013$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.36 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 57c | 979.98$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.39 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 71c | 975.64$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 31c | 899.41$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.03 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 39c | 876.16$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…942dbacked No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…96bdbacked No | 61c | 823.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4447backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 57c | 799.91$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…d04fbacked Yes | 29c | 790.91$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Yes | 32c | 782$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 43c | 777$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed No | 69c | 725.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.47 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked No | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 37c | 677.27$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed No | 60c | 655.73$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.73 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 629.24$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…11f6backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 57c | 564.38$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.52 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Yes | 44c | 534.04$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…edebbacked No | 59c | 494.44$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 55c | 488.69$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…07dfbacked No | 61c | 482.3$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 15c | 475$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…f50bbacked Yes | 43c | 467.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Yes | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed No | 58c | 457.36$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…ff70backed Yes | 44c | 455.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe439…89bdbacked No | 67c | 444.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed No | 60c | 441.66$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.66 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 43c | 390$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 56c | 372.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…c879backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +16.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 43c | 274.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…cdfcbacked No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 45c | 258.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…7108backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…b993backed Yes | 43c | 239.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…4d84backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a87…89eabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…3a00backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 43c | 230.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Yes | 7c | 229.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…e761backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…3faabacked Yes | 44c | 223.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 45c | 221.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 43c | 215.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7d…058fbacked No | 56c | 214.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…0d61backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…1a65backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.