TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dd0…49d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,202.71
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+537.7%+$27,395.34
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,178.96
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,701.27
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$81.92
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,214.07
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300.12
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$445.16
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$31.7
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.9
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$423.17
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$306.41
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$537.72
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$109.16
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$289.67
Will Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.34
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
Göztepe SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$170.67
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$35.32
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+34.8%+$44.67
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.3%+$38.27
Galatasaray SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Beşiktaş JK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.71
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$197.91
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$31.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$13.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,454.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.