Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26a04f7c0bcd3f88a05c492cae75482612d6a8dd61df39595221c9ab6fa6418

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,005,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,016,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,341 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	42c	27,128$11,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,380.88	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	41c	18,953$7,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,750.21	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	28c	17,625$5,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,005.82	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	76c	16,329$12,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,954.46	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	71c	15,046$10,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,432.85	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x690b…9145backed No	1c	13,100$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	29c	13,000$3,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,253.77	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	39c	12,291$4,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,547.76	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	62c	12,020$7,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,431.32	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	50c	11,970$6,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,948.91	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	72c	11,689$8,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,326.4	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	36c	10,626$3,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,810.67	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	35c	10,409$3,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,732.64	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bf…a509backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	22c	8,792$1,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,849.77	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	34c	7,672$2,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,094.86	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	27c	6,633$1,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,819.69	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes	61c	6,216$3,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.4	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	23c	5,612$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,312.65	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	45c	5,513$2,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,008.67	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed No	70c	5,334$3,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,735.03	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	22c	5,109$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,992.82	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	55c	5,012$2,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,254.18	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x613f…30bfbacked Yes	55c	5,000$2,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,270.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	34c	4,895$1,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,222.72	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	29c	4,802$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,421.63	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	62c	4,713$2,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,776.81	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	70c	4,662$3,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.07	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No	50c	4,531$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,283.21	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	53c	4,469$2,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,078.37	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,457$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,189.84	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	67c	4,270$2,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,844.55	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes	31c	4,168$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,878.17	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4044…5c35backed No	74c	4,000$2,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,972	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	40c	3,875$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,316.58	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	8c	3,404$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,126.25	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	66c	3,397$2,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,258.56	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf25b…7b79backed No	5c	3,380$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.08	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	70c	3,369$2,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.18	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	60c	3,352$2,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.37	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed No	3c	3,321$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.61	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	55c	3,200$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.08	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db2…0f2ebacked Yes	79c	2,950$2,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.17	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	69c	2,906$1,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.6	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No	62c	2,905$1,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,791.72	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	53c	2,899$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.55	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f4…4064backed No	32c	2,897$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.68	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No	36c	2,654$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.82	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf328…2b78backed Yes	74c	2,636$1,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.14	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	62c	2,605$1,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.69	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	56c	2,542$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.92	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	32c	2,542$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.46	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	15c	2,537$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.36	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	60c	2,521$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.54	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	14c	2,499$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.3	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	39c	2,492$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.34	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…5204backed Yes	43c	2,391$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.96	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a4…426dbacked Yes	19c	2,348$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892.14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	27c	2,335$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,693.41	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	36c	2,318$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.04	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	72c	2,296$1,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.6	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	28c	2,269$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643.22	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	26c	2,233$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.89	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	76c	2,200$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.98	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacfb…ac3ebacked Yes	53c	2,195$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.03	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	22c	2,112$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.85	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	27c	2,047$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,497.22	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…748fbacked Yes	77c	2,034$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.84	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.7wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf03…9175backed Yes	69c	2,024$1,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.26	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	37c	2,010$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,273.08	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	33c	1,939$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,297.49	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec87…47cebacked Yes	27c	1,913$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.76	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	1,843$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,710.06	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bc…5377backed Yes	73c	1,833$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.22	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee54…c2dfbacked Yes	65c	1,833$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.53	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes	76c	1,825$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	6c	1,800$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,698	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed No	61c	1,800$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.03	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	8c	1,788$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643.38	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	19c	1,689$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.44	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	26c	1,687$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.72	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8611…9cc1backed Yes	66c	1,632$1,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Yes	62c	1,609$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.14	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d83…625dbacked Yes	27c	1,600$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.27	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	51c	1,583$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.58	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b5e…332ebacked Yes	22c	1,558$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.65	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	24c	1,554$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,184.39	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	23c	1,536$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,186.58	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked No	8c	1,535$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.12	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	4c	1,530$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.84	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No	66c	1,524$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	4c	1,518$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,457.61	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes	40c	1,500$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.5	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	48c	1,454$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.06	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	67c	1,434$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.37	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed No	41c	1,427$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.52	108	24.1%26 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	59c	1,420$837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.18	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	25c	1,394$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.99	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	65c	1,393$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.81	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	39c	1,333$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.45	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event