Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d78b430aa17e8b4c74b2b513e8cdc7ddc1f7c21889ba147cca726956ebc11f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $952,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $502,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952,219 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb857…1bd8backed Yes	0c	43,900$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.49	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	40,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	31,475$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.55	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	8c	29,175$2,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,343.77	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	9c	23,647$2,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,073.36	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	18,991$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.91	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	16,825$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.27	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	16,734$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.18	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	10c	16,490$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.38	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	12c	10,055$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230.82	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02e…09dabacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	3c	9,833$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.85	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	14c	8,220$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	0c	8,100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	12c	7,746$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.91	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	11c	7,445$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.94	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	11c	7,289$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.62	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	4c	6,245$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.16	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00b…d25fbacked Yes	1c	6,197$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	6,095$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	6,084$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	10c	6,069$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.51	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	14c	6,004$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.43	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	8c	5,385$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.85	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	2c	5,263$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.31	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	4c	5,175$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.85	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	6c	5,072$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.06	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00be…9cb8backed Yes	1c	4,785$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.74	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	13c	4,636$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.29	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	15c	4,500$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.27	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	7c	4,469$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.3	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	15c	4,312$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.8	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,181$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.84	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	12c	4,132$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.6	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	3c	4,119$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.93	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	3c	3,998$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.26	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	3,949$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.6	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x965f…50debacked Yes	1c	3,814$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	11c	3,728$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.64	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	16c	3,619$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.88	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	13c	3,455$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	5c	3,422$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.56	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	13c	3,222$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.1	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	12c	3,214$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.35	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	9c	3,101$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.67	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	3,000$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.67	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	6c	2,917$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.18	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf670…3cb8backed Yes	6c	2,901$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.06	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5273…16debacked Yes	11c	2,848$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.11	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	17c	2,782$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.32	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	12c	2,750$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	11c	2,701$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	3c	2,600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	6c	2,600$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.98	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	2,426$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.87	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	13c	2,407$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.98	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	12c	2,380$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.01	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	14c	2,270$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.95	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	6c	2,250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,154$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	11c	2,059$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.89	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14aa…5a82backed Yes	4c	2,054$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	14c	2,043$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.2	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	7c	2,030$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	3c	2,000$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	2,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	11c	2,000$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.23	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	10c	1,955$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.35	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa752…e19fbacked Yes	15c	1,946$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	18c	1,917$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.89	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	10c	1,900$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	17c	1,752$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	12c	1,733$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.75	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	13c	1,732$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.35	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	8c	1,701$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.68	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	20c	1,624$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.8	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	1c	1,600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	1c	1,597$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	20c	1,532$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	12c	1,520$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.4	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	2c	1,500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	1,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba75…adb4backed Yes	1c	1,496$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	1,473$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.54	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	17c	1,448$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.22	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…1ab4backed Yes	2c	1,362$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.73	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x030a…aad9backed Yes	2c	1,356$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	3c	1,300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	8c	1,289$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ea…34dfbacked Yes	13c	1,286$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.28	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	13c	1,268$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.92	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event