Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d07d82cb1b024be5f7b4758efeb146722fff46c3d840a3d2afd0f3e011e4833

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $595,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $260,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	32,822$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.17	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	23,222$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.48	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	0c	22,050$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.39	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	18,209$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.29	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	1c	9,312$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.95	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	11c	8,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	5c	6,555$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.91	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	6,000$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	4,413$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.12	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	4,397$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.14	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	4,235$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	4,220$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.72	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	4c	4,166$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.55	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	4,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	3,870$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.65	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	3,667$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	3c	3,590$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.52	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	3,521$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.65	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	3,338$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	3,272$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.2	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	5c	3,041$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.5	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	3,000$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.2	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	3,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Yes	1c	2,826$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	4c	2,727$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.78	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	2,705$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.43	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	1c	2,677$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	2,498$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.96	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	12c	2,456$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.69	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	2,357$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.85	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	6c	2,261$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.93	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	2,121$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	6c	2,063$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.89	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	4c	2,000$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	2,000$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.09	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	10c	1,982$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.06	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	1,967$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.02	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	10c	1,955$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.03	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	10c	1,915$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.18	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	5c	1,531$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.47	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	13c	1,531$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.81	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	5c	1,500$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	1,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	9c	1,498$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.18	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,495$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	1,481$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.52	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	3c	1,440$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.09	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	11c	1,437$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.63	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	8c	1,428$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.52	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	2c	1,399$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	1,367$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	7c	1,343$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.25	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	9c	1,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	9c	1,163$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	9c	1,146$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	10c	1,131$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.56	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…5a2abacked Yes	7c	1,091$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.86	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	12c	1,000$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	6c	999.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	9c	999.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	4c	999.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.94	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	12c	999.98$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.39	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	12c	900$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac12…7f97backed Yes	9c	895.2$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes	4c	883.23$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.23	84	20.2%17 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	3c	849.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.35	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	9c	840.48$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.05	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	7c	830$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.1	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	12c	799.99$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	6c	799.96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c9…dfbfbacked Yes	7c	772.09$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	11c	765$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.15	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28db…1f83backed Yes	4c	756.79$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	13c	747.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	3c	712.78$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	12c	708.73$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	4c	699.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1106…a85abacked Yes	12c	643$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.16	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	10c	629.05$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	12c	619.62$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.69	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	8c	586$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.88	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	12c	543$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	13c	540.38$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.25	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x543c…365dbacked Yes	2c	532$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	505.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bed…c478backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…570dbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5468…d4d5backed Yes	10c	481.82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.08	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event