TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90f1…72c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
644
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT62412.3%77 W · 547 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 624 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+8,990.9%+$989
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$90.07
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 624 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+103.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAS win by between 8-12% of the vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$228
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+30%+$722.3
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+450.7%+$581.3
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+849.8%+$357.88
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$122
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darren Criss win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.