World Politics · resolved market
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eaa8bce4ea7a229c9e8a3050914b044537d19953fa364b176f95e1abc27f5bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,094,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,167,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,094,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 777 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Yes | 19c | 1,082,235$206,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,643.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes | 28c | 659,414$186,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,534.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 3c | 644,935$17,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,938.58 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed No | 49c | 475,565$231,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243,712.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 4c | 442,865$17,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,954.94 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 34c | 348,762$117,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,041.79 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 13c | 302,706$39,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,382.93 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed Yes | 29c | 244,143$71,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,214.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…265abacked Yes | 63c | 224,835$142,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,026.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes | 75c | 205,933$154,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,190.05 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…9766backed No | 75c | 182,528$137,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,230.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 34c | 158,318$54,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,274.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 1c | 142,613$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.18 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 3c | 129,760$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,286.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +625.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 46c | 119,499$55,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,202.42 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 15c | 114,158$17,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,863.45 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes | 45c | 110,275$49,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,267.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 31c | 109,400$34,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,380.03 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed No | 13c | 107,612$13,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,643.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 1c | 93,827$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.46 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 16c | 92,206$14,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,437.71 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 46c | 92,146$42,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,787.61 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…e616backed No | 36c | 82,519$30,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,506.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 69c | 82,217$56,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,813.42 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…8ba9backed No | 32c | 81,205$26,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,970.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 11c | 78,704$8,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.22 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…4b10backed Yes | 57c | 76,942$43,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,537.65 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed Yes | 63c | 73,022$45,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,725.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 62c | 72,768$45,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,340.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed No | 8c | 71,870$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,789.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 1c | 70,177$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 5c | 65,501$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,920.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…bd9fbacked Yes | 63c | 64,810$40,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,957.22 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 68c | 60,902$41,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,707.29 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 55c | 60,755$33,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,129.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 9c | 59,881$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.06 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 74c | 59,731$44,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,195.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…b839backed No | 37c | 59,152$21,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,265.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…a7eabacked Yes | 63c | 59,152$37,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,265.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…c7cebacked Yes | 68c | 59,041$40,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,359.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 37c | 52,629$19,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,666.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…cf9abacked No | 35c | 51,367$17,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,388.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…6d7abacked Yes | 65c | 51,367$33,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,388.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…238dbacked No | 24c | 49,860$12,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,647.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…3259backed Yes | 63c | 48,348$30,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,600.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…75c9backed Yes | 0c | 47,937$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 46c | 47,106$21,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,543.54 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 59c | 44,826$26,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,274.82 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…a919backed No | 52c | 44,477$23,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,394.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed Yes | 74c | 44,245$32,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,710.92 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…f55dbacked No | 3c | 39,182$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,094.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +471.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4817…6bdbbacked No | 35c | 36,899$12,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,040.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…972bbacked No | 43c | 36,459$15,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,638.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 35c | 35,978$12,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,548.65 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 24c | 35,000$8,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,618.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…d478backed No | 14c | 31,691$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,392.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +637.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 67c | 31,589$21,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,302.42 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…ce37backed No | 40c | 30,100$11,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,198.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.98 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 45c | 29,878$13,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,489.31 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 75c | 29,773$22,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,207.08 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…83f9backed Yes | 70c | 29,727$20,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,896.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 28,611$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes | 0c | 28,591$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…cf79backed No | 26c | 27,707$7,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,634.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 16c | 27,656$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,347.97 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 37c | 26,300$9,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,447.93 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed Yes | 1c | 26,126$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 67c | 26,066$17,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,380.52 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 21c | 25,340$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,053.67 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d7bdbacked Yes | 71c | 25,126$17,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,834.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 0c | 25,034$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…8635backed Yes | 1c | 24,733$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…75dfbacked Yes | 59c | 24,708$14,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,537.47 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 74c | 24,361$18,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270.52 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked No | 7c | 24,339$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,638.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…1b9dbacked No | 4c | 23,975$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,049.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +504.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…ad1ebacked Yes | 43c | 23,665$10,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,256.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 47c | 23,535$11,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,473.52 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…c2febacked No | 40c | 23,260$9,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,997.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…697bbacked No | 19c | 22,858$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,558.42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed Yes | 73c | 22,429$16,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,365.62 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…9e1fbacked No | 34c | 22,129$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,608.49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked Yes | 72c | 21,961$15,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,822.89 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 21,728$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 4c | 21,627$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.35 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked Yes | 7c | 21,377$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed No | 8c | 21,267$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,466.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 31c | 19,761$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,698.51 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 64c | 19,750$12,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,663.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed No | 8c | 19,481$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,851.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 71c | 19,170$13,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,527.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b9…2798backed No | 24c | 18,945$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,308.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 43c | 18,193$7,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,419.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…17e7backed Yes | 33c | 18,000$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 29c | 17,877$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,758.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked Yes | 73c | 17,338$12,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,572.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…4b39backed No | 35c | 17,168$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,147.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…a5f6backed No | 62c | 16,940$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,514.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.