TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5bff…ffbe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Poker at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT5143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$66,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66,286.56
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.56
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.8
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,476Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,740.36
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,576Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$11,575.59
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11,276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$55,053.81
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.45
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,229.21
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61,647.46
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$256,331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+224.6%+$575,722.58
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.83
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,125.45
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18,765.85
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.47
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57,950
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,166.7
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,188.18
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.02
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.94
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,204.61
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,418.58
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$849.18
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-2.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,802.09
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$165.05
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,994.84
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,761.2
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,565.69
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,333.56
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,351.03
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715.18
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,628.9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,482.76
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.08
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,178.49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,522.15
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.67
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,143.19
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.97
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,720.76
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,941.59
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$2,946.57
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,514.43
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$6,800.11
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,796Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,705.36
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,417
Will Bin win MVP at First Stand? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$549.6
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70,873.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,325.29
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,702Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,519.88
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$3,930.06
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$585.76
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,978.15
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$972.09
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+213.8%+$2,538.62
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$6,136.74
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$325.38
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28,118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+99.6%+$28,008.33
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55,982Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+120.1%+$67,208.18
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,226.05
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,168.68
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$7,346.12
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.68
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,609.23
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.13
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$222.2
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$688.82
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$42.61
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,560.06
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.79
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$8,941.86
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$30,179.47
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$216.13
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,306Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+361.3%+$8,331.19
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+61.3%+$1,317.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14,864Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8,360.89
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,034Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$7,652.87
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,410.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$8,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,822.26
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,243.08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,395Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$5,587.58
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$42,805.82
Will Austria win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$20,734.85
Will Portugal win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$379.15
Will France win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$3,288.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$126,444.78
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.29
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,066Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,547.28
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$166,473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$51,076.78
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$823.6
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$9,736Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+309.5%+$30,136.58
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$458.06
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,248.12
Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$798.74
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,141.3
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,903.79
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33,626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+80.7%+$27,129.54
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$790.28
Will Lee Jun-seok not endorse any candidate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$811.33
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16,987.13
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+96.1%+$986.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,705.74
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,938Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$1,142.37
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,679.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,455Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$993.04
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+93.8%+$4,038.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$47.98
NH-02 election: Goodlander (D) vs. Williams (R)backed Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$1,585.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,623Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,822.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,527.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$796.96
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155,864Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+48.1%+$75,045.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51,456Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+79.3%+$40,805.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 July hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,525Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$994.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$574.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.