Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf005155ef085c7f79cef880b60e208551fd3f66a54dc94a11c75bfcb5e8f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,497,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,662,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,497,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x389c…df7bbacked No | 0c | 503,750$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…af47backed No | 13c | 154,551$20,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,599.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 20c | 111,432$22,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,401.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…1792backed No | 17c | 80,200$13,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,237.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…ff3abacked Yes | 73c | 62,123$45,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,773.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…0795backed No | 27c | 62,123$16,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,773.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 7c | 43,543$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.19 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 16c | 30,187$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.39 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 76c | 28,198$21,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,673.48 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…0c98backed No | 13c | 28,069$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 6c | 20,159$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.95 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 14c | 15,757$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 65c | 15,672$10,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 22c | 14,529$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.32 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 17c | 13,509$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 79c | 11,814$9,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 34c | 11,447$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked No | 24c | 10,057$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…3e26backed No | 26c | 9,564$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 13c | 9,201$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.94 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…b4dcbacked No | 14c | 8,466$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 4c | 8,400$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked Yes | 73c | 8,041$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 3c | 7,476$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 14c | 7,355$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.41 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…dbedbacked Yes | 77c | 7,089$5,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 70c | 6,831$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.48 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 76c | 6,559$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…98dcbacked Yes | 73c | 6,003$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 79c | 5,869$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 18c | 5,675$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed No | 37c | 5,644$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked No | 37c | 5,398$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c21backed Yes | 63c | 5,283$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 22c | 5,274$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…10d3backed Yes | 79c | 5,263$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…0659backed No | 40c | 4,996$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 17c | 4,922$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.04 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…0552backed Yes | 75c | 4,632$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…5558backed No | 5c | 4,518$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…06d5backed Yes | 56c | 4,470$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 11c | 4,345$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…9d4dbacked No | 12c | 4,301$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked No | 19c | 4,273$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked No | 15c | 4,208$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 78c | 4,165$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 72c | 4,080$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 6c | 4,068$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…1d1ebacked No | 5c | 4,062$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 76c | 4,000$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 18c | 3,912$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 73c | 3,602$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 20c | 3,570$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 76c | 3,500$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 41c | 3,404$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.36 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 77c | 3,400$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.25 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 76c | 3,300$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.33 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 21c | 3,284$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 19c | 3,124$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.64 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,930$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cee5backed Yes | 72c | 2,902$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 75c | 2,845$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 45c | 2,792$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 64c | 2,780$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…af7cbacked No | 4c | 2,678$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked No | 12c | 2,673$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 16c | 2,631$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…8351backed Yes | 77c | 2,602$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed No | 10c | 2,540$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 2,509$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed No | 2c | 2,502$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 25c | 2,452$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.12 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 60c | 2,248$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.98 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…17aabacked No | 2c | 2,215$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed No | 46c | 2,168$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed Yes | 65c | 2,137$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.37 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 7c | 2,118$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 72c | 2,091$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 13c | 2,062$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…1db6backed Yes | 71c | 2,038$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…0a13backed No | 2c | 1,936$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed No | 11c | 1,812$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…936bbacked No | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 80c | 1,755$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…b165backed No | 4c | 1,749$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 54c | 1,700$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…1d0cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,676$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 36c | 1,655$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 80c | 1,630$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 27c | 1,587$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.49 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…1df9backed Yes | 75c | 1,553$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,550$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.88 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 30c | 1,516$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked No | 11c | 1,500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 33c | 1,493$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.14 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,487$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 1,471$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 33c | 1,406$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.25 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?this page
- Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with María Corina Machado in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.