Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32d42b9be968fcb98856366bb25847cb4f1f0eef35455a2c7c9f51343140127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,289$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…2c05backed No | 76c | 2,900$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…62b0backed Yes | 24c | 2,900$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 3c | 1,022$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 818.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Yes | 14c | 696.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 67c | 625.12$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 6c | 433.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 27c | 425.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3190backed No | 55c | 392.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…0630backed Yes | 24c | 381.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…161fbacked Yes | 14c | 352.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…a6fdbacked No | 69c | 291.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 68c | 279.12$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 4c | 254.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…aa20backed No | 30c | 250.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 77c | 246.84$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 72c | 244.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…9507backed Yes | 75c | 210$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes | 24c | 208.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x317c…81ffbacked Yes | 10c | 202.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 28c | 176.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…3c65backed No | 38c | 166.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…5e88backed Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…e233backed Yes | 14c | 141.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Yes | 75c | 133.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d4…b067backed Yes | 78c | 127.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed No | 78c | 127.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 39c | 121.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…ef00backed Yes | 25c | 113.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…27ccbacked No | 44c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed Yes | 63c | 106.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…0531backed No | 39c | 106.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…7b52backed Yes | 29c | 103.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…6e8fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a58…fceabacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…d837backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +206%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 40c | 95.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…3e97backed Yes | 23c | 89.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 13c | 85.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed No | 31c | 81.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…efb3backed No | 46c | 65.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a0…8b4cbacked No | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…2b7ebacked Yes | 78c | 64.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…486dbacked Yes | 65c | 61.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…0e53backed Yes | 65c | 61.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 60.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 58c | 55.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…92febacked No | 57c | 53.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecd…278dbacked Yes | 75c | 53.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…4dd9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 45c | 43.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…9552backed Yes | 66c | 40.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…9e08backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…ac67backed No | 38c | 40.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…6162backed No | 54c | 39.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…ac7dbacked No | 70c | 35.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…1a55backed Yes | 77c | 32.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…e998backed Yes | 71c | 30.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…fe1cbacked No | 38c | 30.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…3492backed Yes | 66c | 30.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…de9ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…241cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…2c98backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…5b6bbacked No | 80c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…bd82backed Yes | 57c | 19.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?this page
- Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with María Corina Machado in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No won
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.