TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

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Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes2c3,289$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9814920.8%31 W · 118 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes1c3,250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7515217.8%27 W · 125 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ae…2c05backed No76c2,900$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ba…62b0backed Yes24c2,900$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes3c1,113$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4125311.5%29 W · 224 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed Yes3c1,022$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.07190%0 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes12c818.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.925327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x600f…4392backed Yes14c696.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes67c625.12$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes6c433.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed No27c425.02$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.744847.9%23 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b85…3190backed No55c392.29$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5760…0630backed Yes24c381.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cd…161fbacked Yes14c352.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ab…a6fdbacked No69c291.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee4…fa88backed No68c279.12$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes4c254.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0de…aa20backed No30c250.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+140.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Yes77c246.84$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No72c244.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9212927.9%36 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a30…9507backed Yes75c210$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes24c208.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x317c…81ffbacked Yes10c202.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cea…f32abacked Yes28c176.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…3c65backed No38c166.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x440a…5e88backed Yes10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacad…e233backed Yes14c141.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…594ebacked Yes75c133.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d4…b067backed Yes78c127.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20b…8da0backed No78c127.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.623020%6 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…79d0backed No39c121.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.522766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba7e…ef00backed Yes25c113.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes10c111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.439115.4%14 W · 77 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-71.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x491a…27ccbacked No44c110$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick44cpaid+125.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1804…bd47backed Yes63c106.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4148…0531backed No39c106.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd022…7b52backed Yes29c103.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x016e…6e8fbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a58…fceabacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…d837backed No24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+206%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No40c95.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.283151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2868…3e97backed Yes23c89.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes13c85.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8420026%52 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5a…78e9backed No31c81.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+226.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes28c69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef7…efb3backed No46c65.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a0…8b4cbacked No77c65.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1834…2b7ebacked Yes78c64.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf950…486dbacked Yes65c61.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cf…0e53backed Yes65c61.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No41c60.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7729416%47 W · 247 L-53.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb9a4…996dbacked No58c55.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…92febacked No57c53.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecd…278dbacked Yes75c53.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9220…4dd9backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4b7…f9e3backed No73c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes45c43.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.645461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84df…9552backed Yes66c40.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7c…9e08backed Yes27c40.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b0…ac67backed No38c40.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…6162backed No54c39.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd7…ac7dbacked No70c35.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ab…1a55backed Yes77c32.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ef…e998backed Yes71c30.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a4…fe1cbacked No38c30.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ec…3492backed Yes66c30.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9798…de9ebacked Yes68c29.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf98…d0bfbacked No69c28.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5057…241cbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7a…2c98backed No80c25.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3136…5b6bbacked No80c25.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf556…bd82backed Yes57c19.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.